Support of imperfect decision-making agents

advisor: Ing. Miroslav Kárný, DrSc.
e-mail: show e-mail
type: phd thesis
branch of study: MI_MM, MI_AMSM
key words: dynamic decision making; uncertainty; decision support
description: Real (imperfect) decision-making (DM) agents can employ advanced, near-optimal, decision policies only if they can prepare the quantitative inputs into the employed policy design. Essentially, they specify: a) belief model of the environment that may contain other DM agents; b) their DM preferences. The specification is a hard problem on its own. It requires to solve a range of specific sub- and meta- DM-tasks. Thesis will focus on a selected important task of this type. Its proper specification and solution will form the thesis core. The prescriptive DM theory known as fully probabilistic design [1,2], which extends Bayesian DM [3,4], combined [5] with a rich knowledge accumulated by descriptive DM theories [6,7] will form the targeted DM to be supported.
references: The literature will be gradually enriched according to the progress and needs.
[1] M. Kárný: Axiomatisation of Fully Probabilistic Design Revisited, Systems and Control Letters 141, (2020)
[2] M. Kárný, J. Böhm, T.V. Guy et al: Optimized Bayesian Dynamic Advising: Theory and Algorithms, Springer, London (2006)
[3] M.H. DeGroot: Optimal Statistical Decisions, McGraw-Hill, (1970)
[4] J.C. Harsanyi: Games with Incomplete Information Played by Bayesian Players I-III, Management Science, 50(12), Suppl, (2004)
[5] T.V. Guy, M. Kárný, D. H. Wolpert: Decision Making: Uncertainty, Imperfection, Deliberation and Scalability, Springer, Cham, Studies in Computational Intelligence 538, (2014)
[6] D. Kahneman: Thinking, fast and slow, Penguin, (2011)
[7] G. Fowler: How emotional AI is creating personalized customer experiences and making a social impact, Forbes, (2019) last update: 6/12/21
last update: 06.12.2021 15:31:52

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